In the latest edition of Import AI, Jack Clark opens with a pointed question: "What AI-driven miracles will happen this year?" The phrasing is deliberate—it asks not for incremental gains but for transformative leaps, setting a high bar for 2025. The headline, "Reckoning with the future," hints that the answer may force a reassessment of how quickly AI is moving and what we consider possible.
The newsletter also references a "singularity story," which likely serves as a narrative device to explore the gap between current capabilities and more radical forecasts. Clark seems to be using the question as a way to ground speculation in concrete expectations, rather than letting the term "singularity" float free of practical milestones.
Because this is a single source, there is no independent comparison to make. The piece stands alone as a prompt for readers to think about what they would count as a miracle—and whether the field is on track to deliver one. It is less a prediction than an invitation to calibrate our sense of urgency and wonder.